Virginia Governor's Race Prediction

I posted this on my Facebook page, and I wanted it here as well:

I'll go on record with my prediction for the Virginia Governor's race next Tuesday:

I believe Youngkin will lose to McAuliffe. Although Youngkin is leading and is beating the "margin of error," he isn't beating the margin of fraud. At one time I would have said the margin of fraud (that is, the margin required to defeat Democrat cheating) was 5%. After the 2020 presidential election, I think the margin of fraud is now 10%, or even 15%.

And I have heard no stories out of Virginia that election laws have been tightened up to prevent cheating. Just the opposite, in fact.